Today’s Picks

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NYHL Belmont Picks 10.2.14

TobyCallets SANTA ANITA Key Plays 10.2.14

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Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – THURSDAY,  October 2, 2014 at Belmont Park

By Bob Ehalt and Shawn Rychling

Hot List Key:

A: A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* – 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

3rd race – (2) Deadicated Deal (a B last time) didn’t run that poorly last time considering he dislikes the mud. Drops in class to the bottom and we can expect better if the track is fast. Englehart entry of (1) Make a Fortune and (1a) Cay to Pomeroy both like to win and both fit well in this group. (5) Shankopotamus drops to level where he likes to win and loves Belmont. (4) Zoebear takes big class drop and summer races from Belmont would win this one.

4th race – (5) Miss Potenza (C) shows a nice worktab since a decent second at Saratoga and we’ll give her the nod in third career start. (3) Zo Zo is worth a look making her fourth start while dropping into the claim ranks for the first time. (1) She’s Roman (D) drops a notch and is eligible to improve off her debut. (2) Zenstone has been working well for decent debut barn with small sample.

7th race – (6) Three for Me (B) steps up a couple notches and may be up against it a bit with several class droppers in here, but was a different horse on turf last time posting career-best figure and we’re going to bet he can move forward off that effort. (4) Vona just missed last time off a freshening and did so with a speed figure good enough to beat this group. (9) Elusive Success has been away a long time, but Matz can pick his spots well. (7) Prophet’s Cat has some fast figs and turnback angle is interesting.

8th race – (5) Captain Serious (D) was not well placed last time going 9 furlongs around two turns at Saratoga and never really factored despite rating a few lengths off a speedy winner. Returns to his best game here sprinting at Belmont and if nothing else that last race should have given him major fitness. (7) Bakken has enjoyed a nice rest since running a career-best figure north of 100 and Chad will have him ready. (1) Doubledown Again and (1a) Dream Saturday are a playable entry for Michelle Nevin. (3) Candyman E is a 10-win veteran and getting a little class relief for this one.

Best bets: Miss Potenza (4th); Captain Serious (8th); Best value: Deadicated Deal (3rd); Three for Me (7th)

No. Name Letter/
last race
Today’s Race Comments
(1) Beauty Surprise C on 9/11 1 Blocked in the stretch last time
(2) Deadicated Deal B on 9/21 3 Toss last race on muddy track
(1) She’s Roman D on 8/27 4 Eligible to improve upon debut
(5) Miss Potenza C on 8/27 4 Working well for 3rd career start
(15) Scooby Dude B on 9/14 6 AE; Value play if he draws in
(6) Three for Me B on 9/18 7 Betting on another forward move
(5) Captain Serious D on 8/24 8 Back at his game sprinting at BEL
(4) Wind of Bosphorus D on 9/14 9 Should be sharper 2nd off layoff
(10) Media Kid B on 7/31 9 Toss last race on sloppy track

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