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Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – THURSDAY, October 23, 2014 at Belmont Park

By Bob Ehalt and Shawn Rychling

Hot List Key:

A: A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* – 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

3rd race – (8) Sierra Olivia (a B last time) improved smartly last time in second career start and has shown ability to handle a muddy track which she is likely to get today. (6) Money’soncharlotte ran OK in her debut down at Keeneland, but is likely to improve for barn that does well with second-timers. (2) Fast Retailing appears to be live firster for Shug. (5) Profess may not like expected off going, but at least has the benefit of two races.

4th race – (2) Legendary King (B) will likely be a big price due to the Suffolk races on the PPs, but this guy is a contender off his last race, and if this one stays on turf. (10) Bedouin Now (B) is likely to draw in as an MTO and has been competing well his last several starts and should be a major factor in an off-the-turf event.  (3) Conspiracy figures to be the one to beat if the race comes off the grass. (1) Sacred Ground is 8 for 12 in the money on a wet track.

6th race – (5) Moondance Joy (B) ran her best-ever race last time and it came over track conditions we are likely to have today.  Needs to improve for sure, but this field is mediocre at best and she gets a huge weight break. (7) My Super Nova is the obvious horse to beat off a pair of strong seconds. (4) Fancy Pancy has an outstanding worktab in preps for her debut. (3) Whodattcat goes out first time for a new sire whose offspring has been winning at early asking.

8th race – (3) Saturday Appeal (B) hasn’t run too many bad ones over the past seven months and has two wins on a wet track, earning a career-best speed figure in one of those victories. (4) This Hard Land drops to an all-time low and has a good record at Belmont. (10) Cousin Michael is another one that rarely runs a bad one and goes out for top trainer. (7) Onecats Chance is likely to improve as we can toss his last race after a stumbling start.

Best bet: Sierra Olivia (3rd); Best value: Legendary King (4th); Saturday Appeal (8th)

No. Name Letter/
last race
Today’s Race Comments
(1) Trainingforsuccess B on 10/2 1 Last race was an improvement
(8) Sierra Olivia B on 9/21 3 Moved forward in last; likes mud
(2) Legendary King B on 10/9 4 Value play as Suffolk shipper
(10) Bedouin Now B on 9/17 4 MTO; Big chance if he goes
(5) Moondance Joy B on 9/25 6 Best effort came in the mud
(12) Againsome A on 10/5 7 MTO; expect better 2nd off layoff
(3) Saturday Appeal B on 9/28 8 Career top fig came over off going
(15) Lloyd Harbor B on 10/8 9 AE; Big chance if she draws in
(5) Special Invitation D on 9/25 1 Lrl Should improve 2nd off layoff


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